Global fluctuations and Gumbel statistics

We explain how the statistics of global observables in correlated systems can be related to extreme value problems and to Gumbel statistics. This relationship then naturally leads to the emergence of the generalized Gumbel distribution G_a(x), with a real index a, in the study of global fluctuations. To illustrate these findings, we introduce an exactly solvable nonequilibrium model describing an energy flux on a lattice, with local dissipation, in which the fluctuations of the global energy are precisely described by the generalized Gumbel distribution.Comment: 4 pages, 3 figures; final version with minor change

Distribution of extremes in the fluctuations of two-dimensional equilibrium interfaces

We investigate the statistics of the maximal fluctuation of two-dimensional Gaussian interfaces. Its relation to the entropic repulsion between rigid walls and a confined interface is used to derive the average maximal fluctuation $\sim \sqrt{2/(\pi K)} \ln N$ and the asymptotic behavior of the whole distribution $P(m) \sim N^2 e^{-{\rm (const)} N^2 e^{-\sqrt{2\pi K} m} - \sqrt{2\pi K} m}$ for $m$ finite with $N^2$ and $K$ the interface size and tension, respectively. The standardized form of $P(m)$ does not depend on $N$ or $K$, but shows a good agreement with Gumbel's first asymptote distribution with a particular non-integer parameter. The effects of the correlations among individual fluctuations on the extreme value statistics are discussed in our findings.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figures, final version in PR

Probing the tails of the ground state energy distribution for the directed polymer in a random medium of dimension d=1,2,3d=1,2,3 via a Monte-Carlo procedure in the disorder

In order to probe with high precision the tails of the ground-state energy distribution of disordered spin systems, K\"orner, Katzgraber and Hartmann \cite{Ko_Ka_Ha} have recently proposed an importance-sampling Monte-Carlo Markov chain in the disorder. In this paper, we combine their Monte-Carlo procedure in the disorder with exact transfer matrix calculations in each sample to measure the negative tail of ground state energy distribution $P_d(E_0)$ for the directed polymer in a random medium of dimension $d=1,2,3$. In $d=1$, we check the validity of the algorithm by a direct comparison with the exact result, namely the Tracy-Widom distribution. In dimensions $d=2$ and $d=3$, we measure the negative tail up to ten standard deviations, which correspond to probabilities of order $P_d(E_0) \sim 10^{-22}$. Our results are in agreement with Zhang's argument, stating that the negative tail exponent $\eta(d)$ of the asymptotic behavior $\ln P_d (E_0) \sim - | E_0 |^{\eta(d)}$ as $E_0 \to -\infty$ is directly related to the fluctuation exponent $\theta(d)$ (which governs the fluctuations $\Delta E_0(L) \sim L^{\theta(d)}$ of the ground state energy $E_0$ for polymers of length $L$) via the simple formula $\eta(d)=1/(1-\theta(d))$. Along the paper, we comment on the similarities and differences with spin-glasses.Comment: 13 pages, 16 figure

Fluctuating Fronts as Correlated Extreme Value Problems: An Example of Gaussian Statistics

In this paper, we view fluctuating fronts made of particles on a one-dimensional lattice as an extreme value problem. The idea is to denote the configuration for a single front realization at time $t$ by the set of co-ordinates $\{k_i(t)\}\equiv[k_1(t),k_2(t),...,k_{N(t)}(t)]$ of the constituent particles, where $N(t)$ is the total number of particles in that realization at time $t$. When $\{k_i(t)\}$ are arranged in the ascending order of magnitudes, the instantaneous front position can be denoted by the location of the rightmost particle, i.e., by the extremal value $k_f(t)=\text{max}[k_1(t),k_2(t),...,k_{N(t)}(t)]$. Due to interparticle interactions, $\{k_i(t)\}$ at two different times for a single front realization are naturally not independent of each other, and thus the probability distribution $P_{k_f}(t)$ [based on an ensemble of such front realizations] describes extreme value statistics for a set of correlated random variables. In view of the fact that exact results for correlated extreme value statistics are rather rare, here we show that for a fermionic front model in a reaction-diffusion system, $P_{k_f}(t)$ is Gaussian. In a bosonic front model however, we observe small deviations from the Gaussian.Comment: 6 pages, 3 figures, miniscule changes on the previous version, to appear in Phys. Rev.

Contest based on a directed polymer in a random medium

We introduce a simple one-parameter game derived from a model describing the properties of a directed polymer in a random medium. At his turn, each of the two players picks a move among two alternatives in order to maximize his final score, and minimize opponent's return. For a game of length $n$, we find that the probability distribution of the final score $S_n$ develops a traveling wave form, ${\rm Prob}(S_n=m)=f(m-v n)$, with the wave profile $f(z)$ unusually decaying as a double exponential for large positive and negative $z$. In addition, as the only parameter in the game is varied, we find a transition where one player is able to get his maximum theoretical score. By extending this model, we suggest that the front velocity $v$ is selected by the nonlinear marginal stability mechanism arising in some traveling wave problems for which the profile decays exponentially, and for which standard traveling wave theory applies

Classical diffusion of N interacting particles in one dimension: General results and asymptotic laws

I consider the coupled one-dimensional diffusion of a cluster of N classical particles with contact repulsion. General expressions are given for the probability distributions, allowing to obtain the transport coefficients. In the limit of large N, and within a gaussian approximation, the diffusion constant is found to behave as N^{-1} for the central particle and as (\ln N)^{-1} for the edge ones. Absolute correlations between the edge particles increase as (\ln N)^{2}. The asymptotic one-body distribution is obtained and discussed in relation of the statistics of extreme events.Comment: 6 pages, 2 eps figure

Diffusion of Tagged Particle in an Exclusion Process

We study the diffusion of tagged hard core interacting particles under the influence of an external force field. Using the Jepsen line we map this many particle problem onto a single particle one. We obtain general equations for the distribution and the mean square displacement of the tagged center particle valid for rather general external force fields and initial conditions. A wide range of physical behaviors emerge which are very different than the classical single file sub-diffusion $ \sim t^{1/2}$ found for uniformly distributed particles in an infinite space and in the absence of force fields. For symmetric initial conditions and potential fields we find $ = {{\cal R} (1 - {\cal R})\over 2 N {\it r} ^2} $ where $2 N$ is the (large) number of particles in the system, ${\cal R}$ is a single particle reflection coefficient obtained from the single particle Green function and initial conditions, and $r$ its derivative. We show that this equation is related to the mathematical theory of order statistics and it can be used to find even when the motion between collision events is not Brownian (e.g. it might be ballistic, or anomalous diffusion). As an example we derive the Percus relation for non Gaussian diffusion

Modeling temporal fluctuations in avalanching systems

We demonstrate how to model the toppling activity in avalanching systems by stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The theory is developed as a generalization of the classical mean field approach to sandpile dynamics by formulating it as a generalization of Itoh's SDE. This equation contains a fractional Gaussian noise term representing the branching of an avalanche into small active clusters, and a drift term reflecting the tendency for small avalanches to grow and large avalanches to be constricted by the finite system size. If one defines avalanching to take place when the toppling activity exceeds a certain threshold the stochastic model allows us to compute the avalanche exponents in the continum limit as functions of the Hurst exponent of the noise. The results are found to agree well with numerical simulations in the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld and Zhang sandpile models. The stochastic model also provides a method for computing the probability density functions of the fluctuations in the toppling activity itself. We show that the sandpiles do not belong to the class of phenomena giving rise to universal non-Gaussian probability density functions for the global activity. Moreover, we demonstrate essential differences between the fluctuations of total kinetic energy in a two-dimensional turbulence simulation and the toppling activity in sandpiles.Comment: 14 pages, 11 figure

Edwards-Wilkinson surface over a spherical substrate: 1/f1/f noise in the height fluctuations

We study the steady state fluctuations of an Edwards-Wilkinson type surface with the substrate taken to be a sphere. We show that the height fluctuations on circles at a given latitude has the effective action of a perfect Gaussian $1/f$ noise, just as in the case of fixed radius circles on an infinite planar substrate. The effective surface tension, which is the overall coefficient of the action, does not depend on the latitude angle of the circles.Comment: 6 page

Crowding at the Front of the Marathon Packs

We study the crowding of near-extreme events in the time gaps between successive finishers in major international marathons. Naively, one might expect these gaps to become progressively larger for better-placing finishers. While such an increase does indeed occur from the middle of the finishing pack down to approximately 20th place, the gaps saturate for the first 10-20 finishers. We give a probabilistic account of this feature. However, the data suggests that the gaps have a weak maximum around the 10th place, a feature that seems to have a sociological origin.Comment: 5 pages, 2 figures; version 2: published manuscript with various changes in response to referee comments and some additional improvement